Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.008904 0.010557 0.012564 0.015224 0.018722 0.023270 0.029806
2025-05-18 0.006616 0.008467 0.010978 0.014772 0.020631 0.029867 0.046842
2025-05-25 0.005304 0.007099 0.009704 0.013986 0.021364 0.034789 0.065082
2025-06-01 0.004495 0.006216 0.008844 0.013452 0.022128 0.040010 0.089137
2025-06-08 0.004074 0.005811 0.008593 0.013798 0.024547 0.049973 0.139041
2025-06-15 0.003661 0.005342 0.008135 0.013626 0.025838 0.058334 0.202147
2025-06-22 0.003242 0.004803 0.007460 0.012865 0.025532 0.062316 0.259723
2025-06-29 0.003013 0.004548 0.007240 0.012959 0.027307 0.074284 0.413994
2025-07-06 0.002865 0.004412 0.007210 0.013440 0.030320 0.094130 0.800770
2025-07-13 0.002786 0.004382 0.007374 0.014396 0.035219 0.129733 2.257696
2025-07-20 0.002664 0.004259 0.007333 0.014858 0.038910 0.167694 7.562934
2025-07-27 0.002502 0.004046 0.007076 0.014718 0.040502 0.197428 28.609297
2025-08-03 0.002341 0.003834 0.006830 0.014654 0.042843 0.245572 1622.144104
2025-08-10 0.002167 0.003585 0.006477 0.014235 0.043686 0.288023 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001992 0.003315 0.006043 0.013488 0.042737 0.310769 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001852 0.003104 0.005715 0.012979 0.042662 0.349305 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001781 0.003023 0.005670 0.013309 0.046981 0.495040 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001687 0.002887 0.005480 0.013146 0.048707 0.620915 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001570 0.002694 0.005137 0.012421 0.046862 0.644324 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001508 0.002612 0.005047 0.012510 0.049993 0.891383 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001471 0.002576 0.005065 0.012969 0.056053 1.508428 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001455 0.002585 0.005197 0.013878 0.066706 3.655283 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001418 0.002546 0.005199 0.014317 0.074686 8.616433 NaN